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THE ITALIAN JOB - RESEARCHERS ANALYSE RISING DEATH RATE OF THE VACCINATED SINCE C19 VAX ROLL-OUT

Writer's picture: Mark PlayneMark Playne

Five Italians have examined UK data from the ONS and have published their conclusions on Pubmed this February.


As they said in their introduction, "...the UK is perhaps the only country which has made publicly available all-cause mortality data by vaccination status..." and conclude that "...it would be desirable for other major countries to systematically collect all-cause mortality by vaccination status and, in the meantime, pending an in depth investigation, much greater caution should be exercised in promoting mass vaccination campaigns...."


Authors


The authors, after analysing data and other studies came to five very important conclusions:


  1. The data shows death rates among vaccinated people are increasing over time and have exceeded unvaccinated rates in several age groups.


  2. The ONS data contains clear biases that artificially make vaccines appear safer than they are.


  3. COVID-19 vaccines cannot logically protect against non-COVID deaths, yet the data initially shows this impossible effect.


  4. This proves the dataset is flawed and underestimates risks for vaccinated individuals. Other countries must urgently collect and publish similar mortality data.


  5. Until proper investigations are completed, mass vaccination campaigns should be halted due to these concerning mortality trends.



What is 'The Standardised Mortality Ratio' (SMR)? Is it the same as Excess Deaths?


The Standardised Mortality Ratio (SMR) is not exactly the same as excess deaths, though they are related concepts.


An SMR is a ratio that compares the observed number of deaths in a specific group to the expected number of deaths based on standard or reference population rates. It's calculated as:

SMR = (Observed deaths) / (Expected deaths)

When:

  • SMR = 1: The observed deaths match what was expected

  • SMR > 1: There are more deaths than expected

  • SMR < 1: There are fewer deaths than expected


For example, an SMR of 1.5 means there were 50% more deaths than expected in that group.


Excess deaths, on the other hand, typically refers to the absolute number of deaths beyond what would be expected under normal conditions during a specific time period.


In the context of this study, the researchers have been using SMRs to compare mortality rates between vaccinated and unvaccinated groups, with the unvaccinated group serving as the reference population.



THE STUDY


Abstract

Background: The mass vaccination campaign against COVID-19 has been commonly considered the best response to the global COVID-19 pandemic crisis. However, assessment of its real-world effect can be performed by analysis of all-cause mortality by vaccination status.

The UK is perhaps the only country which has made publicly available all-cause mortality data by vaccination status.


Methods: Data from April 2021 to May 2023 published by the UK Office for National Statistics (ONS) were retrospectively analyzed by age groups and vaccination status; the standardized mortality ratio (SMR) for all-cause and non-COVID-19 mortality was calculated against the corresponding unvaccinated groups.


Results: We found that across all age groups, all-cause mortality SMRs increased from a certain date, dependent on the age group. Across all age groups, all-cause mortality SMRs were initially much lower than 1.


However, due to their increase, by a certain date for the 18-39, 80-89 and 90+ age groups they exceeded the reference value. For the other age groups, the date at which the SMR would reach 1 can be predicted, provided the trend is maintained. Non-COVID-19 SMRs' trends were very similar.


Their initial values much lower than 1 are suggestive of significant biases in the ONS dataset, leading to underestimate the risks for the vaccinated people, as it is implausible that COVID-19 vaccines protect against non-COVID-19 deaths.


Conclusions: The increase over time in all-cause death SMRs in vaccinated people compared to unvaccinated, and their excess from the reference values for certain age groups, should be carefully considered to understand the underlying factors.


Furthermore, since the initial values of the SMRs are much lower than 1, we assume the presence of significant biases in the ONS dataset, leading to understimate the risks for the vaccinated people, as it is implausible that COVID-19 vaccines protect against non-COVID-19 deaths.


It would be desirable for other major countries to systematically collect all-cause mortality by vaccination status and, in the meantime, a pending indepth investigations, much greater caution should be exercised in promoting mass vaccination campaigns.





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